Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 8th, 2023 2:15PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mkoppang, Avalanche Canada

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Expect windslabs to quickly develop as westerly winds move into the region on Saturday.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A few new sz 2 avalanches were observed from steeper areas and a few isolated slab avalanches within the storm snow were also observed. Tent bowl had a size two near the skiers left lines and EEoR had a sz 2 from the upper bowl that stopped in the upper track.

Snowpack Summary

Forecasters were out at Burstall pass on Friday for the first visit to the profile site this season. In the profile we found 35cm of recent storm snow overlying a 5cm thick rain crust that formed at the start of the storm earlier this week. It is likely that this crust does not exist in the Alpine but more observations are needed to determine the upper limit of this layer. Deeper in the snowpack down 55cm was the Dec 1st Surface hoar layer that had crystals up to 3mm. The bottom 40cm of the snowpack consisted of moist facets to ground.

The recent snow has settled into a soft storm slab that was cracking on top of the rain crust in steeper terrain. Numerous whumpfs were also heard as the moist basal facets collapsed closer to ground. Two key layers to remain aware of will be the Dec 5th crust layer and the Dec 1st SH layer that is likely only found on sheltered polar aspects. When the wind does arrive expect windslabs to build quickly with all the available snow.

Weather Summary

Winds will increase on Saturday afternoon out of the west with temperatures overnight expected to become a chilly -15C. No new snow is forecast over the next 24hrs but there is a chance of some precip on Sunday.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Any steep opening in the trees should be treated as suspect right now.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New windslabs will build on Lee aspect as winds arrive on Saturday.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Storm snow is overloading the basal layers in some areas causing avalanches on moiast facets at the base of the snowpack

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Warm temps and recent snow is settling into skier triggerable storm slabs. Forecasters were seeing cracking in unsupported areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Dec 10th, 2023 4:00PM