Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 2nd, 2021 8:00AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

jonas hoke,

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Watch for fresh pockets of windslab in lee terrain.

Scale back your exposure on solar slopes if the surface crust breaks down/becomes moist in the afternoon.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A weak trough this afternoon gives increasing cloud.  A cold front late Saturday gives snow and increased wind.

Today: Isolated flurries. Alpine High -4 C. Light-mod SW ridge wind. Freezing level (Fzl) 1700m.

Tonight: Clear periods. Low -7.

Sat: Snow (12 cm). High -3.  Strong SW wind. Fzl 1800m.

Sun: Mainly cloudy.  Low -9, High -6. Fzl 1400m.

Snowpack Summary

A fresh breakable crust on solar aspects may break down if the sun comes out this afternoon. Recent winds have built pockets of slab in alpine and treeline lees. The March 18th layer (a crust on Solar aspets and isolated surface hoar on sheltered Northerly aspects) is now buried 60-100cm depending on aspect and elevation. Cornices are huge.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches on Thursday in the highway corridor. 

There was a report of a natural size 3 avalanche from a south aspect in the Purcells on Thursday, this likely failed on the March 18th crust.

A group of skiers accidentally triggered a size 3 in the Teddy Bear Trees on Tuesday, this slab avalanche failed on the March 18th melt-freeze crust.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind in the wake of last weekends storm built pockets of windslab in lee terrain. Ongoing wind in the alpine continues to build on this problem.

  • Use caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Skier triggering of a large avalanche on this layer, on a SE aspect, on Tuesday, shows that this layer may persist as a low probability high consequence problem.

  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Apr 3rd, 2021 8:00AM