Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 15th, 2012–Feb 16th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Moderate snowfall should start late Wednesday evening and continue until Thursday afternoon. Snowfall amounts are expected to be 15-20cm. Trace amounts are expected on Friday and mostly clear skies are forecast for Saturday. Winds should be moderate to strong from the southwest on Thursday and Friday, switching to light and northerly by Saturday. Freezing levels should be at about 700m for Thursday, 800m for Friday and 500m for Saturday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches to report.

Snowpack Summary

A strong melt freeze crust exists below 1000m on all aspects. On shaded alpine features the surface is mostly wind pressed powder. Variable winds have redistributed 5-10cm of new snow into isolated pockets of wind slab on a variety of aspects in the alpine, although the reactivity of these windslabs has been most recently described as stubborn. The aforementioned new snow may overly buried a surface hoar layer (crystal size reported to be 1-4 mm) at treeline and below. This surface hoar layer seems most prevalent in protected inland areas. Deeper within the snowpack, a facet layer buried around Jan 20th is the greatest concern although triggering seems unlikely. This layer lies approximately 110-140 cm below the surface and still exhibits hard, sudden planar results in isolated snowpack tests.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Forecast snow and wind will have set up sensitive new wind slabs at treeline and in the alpine.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4