Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 10th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Avoid thin and rocky start zones, weak layers in the mid and lower snowpack are showing reactivity to human triggers.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Explosive control yesterday produced slab avalanches; one stepped down to the weak basal facets at the base of the snowpack.

A remotely triggered slab was reported on a NE facing slope at 2300m in a shallow rocky area, also failing on the basal facets.

Snowpack Summary

The recent 30 cm of storm snow has likely been redistributed into deeper deposits on north and east facing slopes at higher elevations. This sits over a rain crust that has been observed up to 1900 m near Golden and 2200 m near Invermere.

A concerning layer of surface hoar is now buried 40-70 cm deep. A widespread natural cycle may have destroyed this layer in steep features but it likely still lingers unaffected features.

The middle and base of the snowpack holds large, weak snow crystals. A hard crust may be found near the ground.

Treeline snowpack depths are variable and generally range between 60 and 100 cm. Snowpack tapers rapidly as you move lower in elevation.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, trace amounts of snow. Southwest winds 10-20 km/h. Freezing levels drop back to valley bottom.

Monday

Mostly cloudy, no snowfall expected. Treeline temperatures around -7 °C. Light and variable wind.

Tuesday

Clearing skies with no snowfall expected. Southerly winds, 10-20 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -10 °C

Wednesday

Partly cloudy with no snowfall expected. Southerly winds increase, around 40 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -10 °C

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.
  • Stay off recently wind loaded slopes until they have had a chance to stabilize.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Winds have built deeper and more reactive slabs in north and east facing terrain features. Slabs sit over a rain crust below ~2200 m. At higher elevations, slabs sit over recent storm snow - and may step down to buried weak layers.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Surface hoar is most likely to be found at treeline elevations, and most triggerable where the rain crust disappears.

Weak facets sit at the base of the snowpack, recent avalanches have failed on or stepped down to this layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Dec 11th, 2023 4:00PM

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