Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 19th, 2020 3:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mkoppang, Avalanche Canada

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15-25cm of snow over the past few days is adding load to the November crust down 30-50cm. This and new windslabs due to moderate variable winds are giving us a complex early season snowpack.  

Summary

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Steady light snowfalls will continue over the next few days but accumulations will be minimal. Temperatures will be more seasonal around -10C over the next few days with winds continuing in the moderate range mainly out of the SW.

Avalanche Summary

No new slab avalanche activity but a few loose dry avalanche out of steep terrain up to sz 1.5 were observed. 

Snowpack Summary

20-25cm of snow has fallen over the past 48hrs with variable winds at the upper elevations. WIndslabs in the upper snowpack are evident in alpine areas and there is also a layer of weak facets overlying the November rain crust that is producing moderate sudden planar failures down 30-40cm. Thin areas persist where triggerring the facets overlying the november crust may be easier and also the chance of clipping a rock or tree at lower elevations are very real as its still pretty thin. The crust is being found up to 2550m and is carrying a skeirs weight well. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Watch for windslabs in alpine areas in the upper snowpack. Gullies and ridgelines are common areas to find these issues. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak facet layer overlying the November crust is producing moderate results down 30-60cm. This will be a problem for some time. Moderate sudden planar results are benig observed on this layer indicating that it is within the range of human triggerring.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Nov 20th, 2020 3:00PM

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