Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 25th, 2015 3:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeStrong winds and moderate to heavy snow fall are expected to drive a natural avalanche cycle on Saturday.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Weather Forecast
Snow is expected to start falling early Saturday morning becoming heavy in the afternoon. Up to 15cm is expected through the day and overnight with another 5 forecast for Sunday morning. Monday looks to be mainly dry. An Arctic front just inland will keep things cool with freezing levels at valley bottom. Strong southwest winds are expected to build on Saturday becoming moderate to light westerlies on Sunday and northeasterly by Monday as a ridge moves inland.
Avalanche Summary
No recent avalanche have been reported.
Snowpack Summary
I suspect that the recent cold temperatures have faceted out the upper snowpack. As of Friday ski pen at treeline was reported to be about 20-30 cm and. This means there is lots of low density surface snow available to blow around when the winds pick up. We're still dealing with a thin, early-season snow pack for much of the Northwest Inland region. Between 80 and 100 cm of snow can be found at tree-line in the south and west of the region, with closer to 60 cm in the east. A weak basal layer probably exists in most areas.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm slabs will build rapidly, especially in wind loaded features at tree line and in the alpine. The new load will test the strength of the thin, weak snowpack.
The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>Avoid thin, rocky or sparsely-treed slopes.>Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 26th, 2015 2:00PM