Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Northwest Inland.
Confidence
Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions
Weather Forecast
Saturday: Expect an unsettled day, with winds turning northeasterly and some isolated flurries giving another 10cm. Temperatures could climb to -10. Sunday & Monday: Mostly clear skies with light northerly winds and cold temperatures. Clouds will begin to build late in the day on Monday as the next system arrives.
Avalanche Summary
Natural avalanches up to size 3.0 and ridder triggered up to 1.5 have been observed.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 30cm of new snow has fallen over the past week, and sits on a variety of old surfaces. These surfaces include: melt-freeze crusts that exist on all aspects at lower elevations and on south-facing slopes higher up and well-settled powder on shaded aspects in the alpine. Weak surface hoar crystals (size 3-4mm) are sandwiched between the old surfaces and the newer snow and have recently shown easy compression test results. The distribution of the surface hoar seems to be up to treeline on all aspects and on sheltered features in the alpine. This upper snow pack structure will be the big thing to watch as the overlying slab develops. I expect to see increasing reactivity in the surface hoar interface. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.There is a Special Public Avalanche Warning in place for most of the province, including the Northwest Inland area.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 6
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 5