Temps at 2000m have remained above zero for the past 7 days resulting in poor overnight recovery and a
isothermal snowpack at lower elevations.If the sun shines today, the avalanche hazard will increase rapidly as the upper snowpack loses strength.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Temperatures and freezing levels remain higher than expected and have kept avalanche hazard elevated at lower elevations. A mix of sun and cloud today with an alpine high of 0, light ridge top winds and a freezing level reaching 2000m. Temps slowly cooling off over the next few days with snow forecasted for Tuesday (5cm).
Snowpack Summary
High freezing levels all week have resulted in poor overnight recovery of the snow surface. Expect to find a breakable crust in the morning on all aspects at and below tree line and for the crust to break down into moist snow by the afternoon.
Isothermal conditions exist below tree line. Cool dry snow exists on high Northerly aspects
Avalanche Summary
The natural spring avalanche cycle has continued for 7 days and still produced several avalanches sz 2.0 - 3.0 yesterday on the steep solar aspects, originating in the alpine and running to below tree line. Multiple artillery and helicopter control missions this week produced numerous avalanches up to sz 3.0 on all aspects.
Confidence
Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain