Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2019–Mar 12th, 2019

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Little Yoho.

New snow and strong winds will form slabs over the previous weak facet layer resulting in a rising hazard level. We have seen a few slides run further than expected. Make conservative terrain choices until more is known about how this new snow reacts

Weather Forecast

Upper elevation winds will remain strong Monday night then slowly diminish during the day on Tuesday becoming light by Tuesday night. 5-10 cm of new snow is forecast for Monday night and into Tuesday. Alpine temperatures will hold steady Monday night near - 10'C and begin dropping on Tuesday. Valley bottoms will see high temperatures near freezing.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds Monday have redistributed recent snow into wind slabs in open areas above treeline. This recent snow sits over weak facets, previous wind effect or sun crusts on steep solar aspects. The mid pack varies from supportive in thicker snowpack areas to weak and completely faceted in thin areas.

Avalanche Summary

Small natural wind slabs and loose dry avalanches were observed in the alpine Monday afternoon as the winds increased. An avalanche incident occurred on an ice climb on Mt Stephen where a relatively small natural avalanche traveled a very long distance entraining the loose facets in the path and reaching valley bottom.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow and strong SW winds are building slabs in open areas above treeline. These slabs are sitting on the weak, faceted snow that was previously on the surface and as a result can run further than expected when triggered.

Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

Previous cold temperatures created weak, faceted surface snow. In steep terrain, these facets remain easily triggered and can gain enough mass to affect skiers and climbers. Narrow gullies are where this is most concerning.

Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.Be very cautious with gully features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2