Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain
Weather Forecast
2-4mm of precipitation is expected Wednesday overnight with moderate alpine winds from the NW. Unsettled conditions are expected for Thursday. Mostly cloudy conditions with sunny breaks are expected and light scattered precipitation is possible late in the day. Freezing levels are forecast to reach around 1500m and alpine winds should remain light from the NW. On Friday, similar conditions are expected with light scattered flurries possible and mainly cloudy with sunny breaks. Freezing levels are expected to be around 1300m and alpine winds should be light-to-moderate from the NE. Saturday is currently forecast to be a day of full sun as the ridge should be re-established over the coast.
Avalanche Summary
Some small solar-triggered activity was reported on Monday and no new avalanches have been reported since. Avalanche activity is generally not expected for Thursday except potentially isolated human-triggered wind slab activity if we get more snow than forecast Wednesday overnight.
Snowpack Summary
The snow surface is highly variable and may include wind-pressed surfaces or old wind slabs, a sun crust on all solar aspects, surface hoar, surface facets, and/or up to 5 cm of soft snow over a widespread supportive rain crust in wind sheltered areas. The snowpack is generally strong and well settled. If we get enough snow Wednesday overnight, thin isolated wind slabs may form in immediate leeward terrain features in the alpine.Â
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2