Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 5th, 2014 7:55AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

Wind continues to be the story in the Northwest. Forecast strong southerly winds may keep wreaking havoc on the snowpack. Be alert to variable and changing conditions.

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Continued light snowfall another 5-15 cm is possible. The freezing level starts to rise to around 600-800 m by the end of the day. Winds increase to strong from the SW. Sunday: Mainly cloudy with a chance of flurries. The freezing level is around 800 m but could pop up to 1500 m near the coast. Ridge winds are moderate to strong from the S. Monday: Periods of rain or snow. The freezing level could rise to 1800 m late in the day. Winds could be extreme from the S-SW.

Avalanche Summary

There are no new reports of natural or rider triggered avalanches. Please let us know what you're seeing out there. Email us at forecaster@avalanche.ca.

Snowpack Summary

Conditions vary significantly throughout the region, at different elevations, and on different aspects. The common theme is that the snowpack is generally shallow, quite facetted (sugary), and very wind affected. Expected snowfall later on Friday will cover a variety of surface forms including surface hoar or faceted snow in sheltered areas, and wind slab or ice crusts in exposed terrain. Strong E-SE winds have created dense new wind slabs in open north or west-facing terrain. Old hard wind slabs may also be lurking underneath. The mid-November crust-facet layer is now 40-60 cm deep and continues to show easy to moderate shears in snowpack tests. Deeper in the snowpack, at 80 cm down there is another crust that is breaking down and becoming bonded to the surrounding snow.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Light new snow will probably be blown into dense or hard wind slabs in exposed lee terrain and stripped off windward slopes. Winds are forecast to be very strong, which could result in variable loading patterns. 
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid wind-loaded or cross-loaded lee terrain.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 6th, 2014 2:00PM