Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 10th, 2018 4:07PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada pgoddard, Avalanche Canada

A Special Public Avalanche Warning is in effect. Copy this link to view details: http://bit.ly/2nSOUyX

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

An Arctic air mass keeps things cold and dry until Tuesday, when moderate snow is expected, with milder temperatures and strong south-westerly winds.More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Avalanche Summary

A very large, widespread avalanche cycle was observed on Thursday, with a few events continuing on Friday. Slopes of all aspects and elevations ran full path and reached valley floor. In some cases, mature timber was smashed. These failed on all of the persistent weak layers discussed in the snowpack section. Avalanches involving only the recent storm snow were also very large.The natural cycle is winding down, but human-triggering remains a real concern. You might be surprised by how large an avalanche can be triggered and how far it could run.

Snowpack Summary

Strong north to north-westerly winds have shifted 25-70 cm recent storm snow into wind slabs on lee slopes. This adds to an existing storm slab up to 1-2.5 m deep from the last couple of weeks accumulation. Several persistent weak layers make up a troublesome snowpack which is not tolerating the recent load. In the top 1.5-2.5 m of the snowpack, two surface hoar layers buried in January can be found. Expect to find one or other of these on all aspects and elevations.Deeper in the snowpack (around 200 cm deep) is a facet/crust/surface hoar layer from December, most prevalent at and below treeline.Near the base of the snowpack is a crust/facet combo, most likely to be triggered from thin spots in the alpine.All of these layers have produced large avalanches recently. The wide distribution and ongoing reactivity of these layers suggests that avoidance through choosing simple terrain is the best strategy.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent north winds have left behind wind slabs and cornices on lee slopes.
Give cornices a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.If triggered, wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Several troublesome layers are producing very large, destructive avalanches. These could be triggered by the weight of a person or snowmobile, or a surface avalanche.
Avoid traveling in runout zones. Avalanches have the potential to run to valley floor.Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.Choose simple terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 4

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Recent storm snow is gradually stabilizing, but storm slabs can still be triggered by solar warming or cornice fall, or a person in specific areas.
Use conservative route selection. Choose low angled and supported terrain with low consequence.Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of strong sun.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 11th, 2018 2:00PM