Summary
Confidence
Fair - Due to limited field observations
Weather Forecast
Monday should remain dry with some sunshine poking through the cloud and freezing levels around 1500 m. Winds are expected to be moderate southeasterly. On Tuesday, light flurries are anticipated. Freezing level should remain pretty constant, (with little overnight freeze on Monday or Tuesday nights), winds remaining moderate southeasterly. On Wednesday, a little more precipitation is expected, say 5 mm as snow above 1500 m and rain below.
Avalanche Summary
Point releases, especially on south facing terrain have been reported from the last few days up to size two. A size 3 glide slab was reported to the west of the region on a south-facing slope near Shames. Note, we are currently receiving very little information about this region.
Snowpack Summary
Moderate winds have blown light amounts of new snow into variable wind slabs in exposed lee and cross-loaded terrain, which are starting to bond. Surface snow on sun-exposed slopes is undergoing a daily melt-freeze cycle. In sheltered areas 15-30cm of recent new snow sits on previous surfaces that include crusts (found on all aspects below 1000m and on solar aspects higher up), and old wind slabs. Daytime warming and sun-exposure will cause surface snow to lose cohesion and cornices to weaken. Wet slabs also become a possibility during periods of prolonged warming, especially if there is minimal amounts of overnight freeze.
