Winter transitions into spring! Rapid warming and intense solar radiation can increase the avalanche danger quickly. Check out the new
Forecaster Blog which is directly focused on the Northern Regions.
Summary
Confidence
Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Saturday
Weather Forecast
Light-moderate precipitation is expected to come to an end on Friday as a strong ridge dominates the region bringing clear skies and rising freezing levels. Friday: Cloudy in the am with sunny breaks in the afternoon. Ridgetop wind moderate from the NW. Freezing levels rising to 1100 m. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures high of 2.0 degrees. Ridgetop winds light from the SE. Freezing levels near 1700 m rising to 2000 m overnight.Sunday: Mainly sunny skies. Alpine temperatures high of 7.0 degrees and freezing levels rising to 2200 m. Ridgetop winds light from the SW.
Avalanche Summary
Snowpack Summary
Up 30 cm of new snow fell at upper elevations and up to 40 mm of rain. A strong rain crust exists up to 2000 m on all aspects. At higher elevations the new snow fell onto a variety of old snow surfaces consisting of surface hoar, facets and melt freeze crusts. Strong SW winds have built thick wind slabs on leeward aspects and a poor bond may exist, especially on a buried crust.At lower elevations (1200 m and below), surface snow is moist and/ or wet, creating melt-freeze conditions.Two persistent weak interfaces exist deeper in the snowpack. The early March layer can be found down 75 - 100cm. The early February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is down 150 - 200cm. Recently, these layers have become overloaded with the new load from snow, rain and wind. They must remain on your radar, and could become reactive with Sunday's solar radiation and super high freezing levels.