Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 12th, 2020 8:03AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada percy woods, Parks Canada

Be conservative in your terrain selection and give the snowpack time to adjust to the recent storm snow load.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods, isolated flurries with a trace of precipitation. Alpine temperature a high -11 °C with W ridge wind at 10-25km/h and an 800m freezing level.  Friday calls for mainly cloudy sky with isolated flurries, a trace of snow ridge wind E at 30km/h and a high of -18C, brrrrrr!

Snowpack Summary

25-30cm of snow and mod/strong SW winds in the last 48hrs has created a reactive storm slab. The new snow sits on a thin suncrust on solar aspects and small surface hoar on N'ly aspects. Below this slab, the Feb 22nd persistent weak layer is down 80-120cm, and consists of 3-7mm surface hoar on all aspects up to 2450m, and a crust on solar aspects.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday's avalanche cycle produced natural avalanches to size 3 and controlled avalanches to size 3.5 in the highway corridor. The slides from avalanche control were mainly confined to the storm snow with Camp West path possibly digging deeper.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

25-30cm of recent storm snow with mod/strong winds has created a widespread storm slab. Lee and cross-loaded features at upper elevations will shed this new layer easily. Unsupported slopes/terrain traps below tree-line should be avoided.

  • The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.
  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The February 22 Surface Hoar/ sun crust layer is down 90-130cm. It's possibly for skier-triggering in shallower snowpack areas, but otherwise this layer will take a bigger trigger to be activated.

  • Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack
  • Be aware of the potential for wide propagations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Mar 13th, 2020 8:00AM