Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 18th, 2012 9:24AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Good - -1
Weather Forecast
Thursday: One more day of frigid cold to endure - although some minor warming may creep into the far south. Light winds. No precipitation.Friday: Light snow starting late in the day. Moderate south-westerly winds and temperatures rising slightly. Saturday: Continued light to moderate snowfall. South-westerly winds.
Avalanche Summary
Skiers triggered wind slabs to size 2 on mostly easterly aspects on Tuesday. A couple of natural wind slabs up to size 2.5 were also reported. In terrain not so affected by the wind, natural and skier-triggered soft slabs and sluffs were observed on steep slopes and convex rolls.
Snowpack Summary
Recent storm snow totals are about 40-60cm. This sits over a variety of surfaces (facets, surface hoar in sheltered areas, soft slabs, hard slabs, wind crust, and a melt-freeze crust below treeline) The dry storm snow only been reacting as a slab in a few areas, with loose and fast sluffs the main concern in others. Localised strong winds on Tuesday night have led to wind slabs at treeline and above, mainly on easterly aspects.A surface hoar layer buried in mid-December is gaining strength, but professionals are still treating it with caution, as the consequences of an avalanche on this layer would be high. It's now down about 120cm in the snowpack and could potentially be triggered from a shallow snowpack area or by a very heavy load, like cornice fall or group of sledders).
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 19th, 2012 8:00AM