Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 3rd, 2017 4:30PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

Be extra cautious around south slopes: they're weak, wind-loaded, and getting hit by the sun.

Summary

Confidence

High - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY: A mix of sun and cloud, light north winds, alpine temperatures around -20.THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, light west winds, alpine temperatures around -16.FRIDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, light southwest winds, alpine temperatures around -14.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, numerous natural wind slabs in the size 1-2 range were reported on south and southwest aspects. A larger size 3 avalanche was reported to have been triggered by a wind slab stepping down to a deeper weak layer on a steep south-facing alpine slope in the Selkirks.Wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers in specific areas, such as the immediately lee of ridges and sun-exposed slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds over the weekend had an extensive effect in exposed terrain. Expect scouring and wind slabs in unusual places, as the winds shifted from west to northeast. Sunny weather is likely making the surface snow touchy on south-facing slopes. The mid-December facet/surface hoar layer can be found buried 80-120 cm deep, and has been showing signs of gaining strength recently with little to no recent avalanche activity in the region. The layer may still be reactive in isolated areas such as steep south-facing slopes and thin snowpack areas. The lower snowpack is well bonded and features a thick rain crust near the ground.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Southerly aspects are wind loaded and becoming unstable with solar warming. Watch for wind slabs in unusual places, including open areas at lower elevations.
Minimize exposure to steep, planar south facing alpine slopesAvoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 4th, 2017 2:00PM

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