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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2024–Jan 29th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Avoid avalanche terrain today. Heavy snow/rain, extreme wind and warm temperatures have made an unstable snowpack, with potential for widespread large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Saturday: A naturally triggered avalanche cycle consisting of both slab and loose wet avalanches to size 2.5 was observed along the highway corridor between White Pass and Skagway. These avalanches all occurred on northerly aspects.

We suspect a widespread natural avalanche cycle is ongoing across the region.

Snowpack Summary

Around 25-30 cm of storm snow has fallen recently, with more set to fall overnight Sunday and throughout the day Monday.

At lower elevations, some of this precipitation fell as rain. The new snow is likely to be dense and settling rapidly with the warm temperatures and may be moist or wet below 1700m.

At upper elevations, strong southerly alpine winds have likely formed touchy slabs on lee northerly and easterly slopes.

A buried weak layer of surface hoar and facets has been found in isolated locations 45-70 cm below the surface. There is potential for the new precipitation and warm temperatures to overload this layer triggering large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with 15-30 cm of new snow / heavy rain, southeast alpine wind 60 km/h, treeline temperature 4°C, freezing levels potentially rising to 1700 m

Monday

Cloudy with 10-20 cm of new snow / moderate to heavy rain, south alpine wind 70 km/h, treeline temperature 2°C, freezing level 1500 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 5-10 cm of new snow, southwest alpine wind 40 km/h, treeline temperature 0°C dropping to -10°C, freezing levels dropping from 1000 m back to 0 m

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, with no new snow, northeast alpine wind 20-40 km/h, treeline temperature -10°C

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs have built up throughout the storm and are primed to be very reactive to natural and human triggers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5