Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 9th, 2024–Jan 10th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Tutshi, Wheaton, White Pass East, White Pass West, Yukon.

Fresh, reactive wind slabs are expected to form as northerly winds invade the region.

Wind and cold temperatures mean cold exposure is a major concern. Read more in this blog.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Fresh wind slab development at all elevations will be the main concern on Wednesday.

Last Saturday, a size 2 avalanche was triggered remotely on a southeast-facing slope on a steep, wind-loaded feature just above treeline. Skiers in this area also reported whumpfing. These may have failed on the buried surface hoar detailed in the Snowpack Summary. Several other size 1 and 2 wind slab avalanches were also reported on both north- and south-facing slopes in exposed areas.

Snowpack Summary

Strong northerly winds are expected to form hard surfaces and redistribute 10 to 20 cm of soft snow into wind slabs in exposed areas.

A layer of buried surface hoar that formed on Christmas Eve may be buried about 50 cm deep.

The lower snowpack is generally strong.

Snowpack depths range from 80 to 200 cm across the region and vary locally from wind distribution.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Clearing, no new snow. Northerly winds, increasing 40 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperatures drop below -20 ºC.

Wednesday

Mainly sunny with no new snow. Northerly winds 40 to 70 km/h. Treeline temperature around -25 ºC.

Thursday

Sunny with no new snow. Northerly winds, 30 to 60 km/h. Treeline temperature around -30 ºC.

Friday

Sunny with no new snow. Alpine wind 10 to 30 km/h from the northwest. Treeline temperature around -30 ºC.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep your guard up at lower elevations. Wind slab formation has been extensive.
  • Fresh wind slabs will likely form throughout the day, diligently watch for changing conditions.
  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong northerly winds may form fresh, reactive wind slabs throughout the day.

Older wind slabs may exist on a variety of aspects and a layer of buried surface hoar may continuing to make these slabs reactive to human triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2