Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 19th, 2022 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeAssess your line for wind slab hazard before committing to consequential terrain.
Summary
Confidence
High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast
Weather Forecast
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. A trace of new snow. Light to moderate southeast wind. Alpine low around -14 °C.
Sunday: Increasing cloud. Possible trace of new snow. Light to moderate southeast wind. Alpine high around -5 °C.
Monday: Snowfall starting 3-10 cm. Light southeast wind building to strong south in the afternoon. Alpine high around -2 °C.
Tuesday: Snowfall 10-20 cm. Moderate to strong southeast wind. Alpine high around -4 °C. Freezing level 800 m.
Avalanche Summary
No reports of avalanche activity since Thursday when natural storm slab avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported north of White Pass on north through east aspects in the alpine. It's estimated that they occurred sometime on Tuesday or Wednesday.Â
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Snowpack Summary
30-40 cm of recent snow sits over a wind pressed snowpack, or a crust on steep, south facing slopes. Recent winds have varied from southeast to southwest, creating deeper deposits of soft wind slab on north and east facing aspects. Periods of sun on Thursday created a thin surface crust on solar aspects.Â
The new snow seems to be bonding well to old surfaces. At lower elevations, where the wind has been calmer, expect the surface snow to be unconsolidated.Â
The lower snowpack is thought to be well protected by the dense layers above, and it is unlikely that avalanches will be triggered on weak, sugary crystals near the ground at this time.Â
Terrain and Travel
- Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
- Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
- Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
- Small avalanches can have serious consequences in extreme terrain. Carefully evaluate your line for wind slab hazard before you commit to it.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Recent winds have loaded soft slabs into isolated terrain features in the alpine. Windslabs are most reactive when they are fresh, so use extra caution if you can see blowing snow.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 20th, 2022 4:00PM