Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Wednesday

Tuesday:  Trace amount of snow.  Freezing level rising to around 1300m.  Winds light S/SW at all elevations.Wednesday:  5 to 30cm of new snow.  Strong S winds at treeline, Strong to extreme SW winds at ridgetop.  Freezing level starting at 500m, rising to 1700m in the afternoon.Thursday:  Scattered flurries.  Moderate SW winds at treeline, strong SW winds at ridgetop.  Freezing level holding at 1500m.

On Saturday, a few isolated size 1 wind slabs were skier triggered in the north of the region.  On Sunday cornice fall to size 2 was observed.

In high elevation lee terrain you may find smaller soft wind slabs which formed in response to recent southwest winds and light snowfall. These wind slabs overlie a variety of surfaces which include older wind slabs or melt-freeze crusts. On sun-exposed slopes and at lower elevations, the snowpack is likely in a spring melt-freeze cycle.Up to a meter below the surface you may find a hard crust which co-exists with facets. This condition seems more specific to the north of the region. Although reports suggest this layer has gained significant strength, I'd be wary of the possibility of isolated large avalanches on steep, unsupported slopes, especially if temperatures increase, or if solar radiation is strong. The mid-pack is generally well-settled and strong. At the base of the snowpack, weak facets may be found, particularly on shallow alpine slopes in the north of the region. Cornices are large and potentially fragile.