Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 26th, 2020 2:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

Minimize exposure to avalanche terrain as a series of storms are creating dangerous avalanche conditions.

Summary

Confidence

High - We are confident the likelihood of avalanche will increase with the arrival of the forecast weather.

Weather Forecast

A series of frontal systems will bring steady snowfall and strong wind for the remainder of the week.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: 5-10 cm of new snow, 40-60 km/h wind from the southwest, alpine temperatures around -10 C.

THURSDAY: Steady snowfall with 10-20 cm of new snow, strong wind from the south, alpine high temperatures around -5 C.

FRIDAY: Steady snowfall continues with another 10-20 cm of snow, moderate to strong wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -7 C.

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate southwest wind, alpine high temperatures around -10 C.

Avalanche Summary

The primary concern this week will be new slabs forming as snow accumulates.

No notable avalanches have been reported since Saturday when a large (size 3) avalanche was observed on a very steep north alpine face in Taiya Valley. It was triggered by a collapsing cornice which is a good reminder to minimize your exposure to slopes with cornices overhead.

Snowpack Summary

New slabs will form this week as the weather forecast calls for roughly 10-20 cm of snow per day with strong south wind. Old wind slabs can be felt on a variety of aspects beneath the new snow, and thin sun crusts have been reported on south-facing slopes. Cornices are reported to be growing in size as well.

At White Pass the snowpack is roughly 200 cm thick and well-bonded, while in the Wheaton Valley the snowpack is much thinner and capped by a breakable crust.

Terrain and Travel

  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Thick and dangerous wind slabs are forming as a series of storms hit White Pass. Natural avalanches are likely in alpine terrain during intense periods of the storm. There looks to be a break in the storm on Saturday, but human triggered wind slab avalanches will remain likely.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 28th, 2020 4:00PM

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