Avalanche Forecast

Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Friday

Synopsis:  A pacific low approaches the North Coast late Thursday bringing strong SW winds and widespread snowfall.  Thursday: Freezing Level: Valley bottom. Precip: Isolated convective flurries. Wind: Mod, WFriday: Freezing Level: Initially valley bottom, rising to 700m. Precip: 10/15mm – 10/20cm Wind: Strong, SWSaturday: Freezing Level: 800m Precip: Isolated convective flurries. Wind: Light, Variable.

Wind loaded NW facing features produced size 1.0 loose snow avalanches on Tuesday.

15-30 cm of new snow sits on a melt-freeze crust at most elevations. Warm temperature and a freezing level around 1000m during Tuesday night's storm combined with solar radiation resulted in moist snow on solar aspects at lower elevations. Pockets of wind slab have developed in exposed lee terrain and cross-loaded gullies. 30 - 60 cm of snow overlies a crust, old wind slabs or surface hoar layer buried on March 9th. The distribution of the surface hoar is also highly variable and it does not exist in every drainage. I would still remain cautious and continue to dig and test before diving into my line. Deeper in the snowpack, basal facets may resurface as a concern with continued mild temperatures.Cornices have become well-developed and could easily become unstable during periods of warm weather or direct solar radiation.