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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 29th, 2021–Mar 30th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: North Columbia.

Storm slabs may remain reactive to human triggers as natural avalanche activity tapers off. Start with small terrain features, look for sign of instability and gather information before considering bigger terrain.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Monday night: Scattered flurries. Light to moderate northwest wind. Freezing level valley bottom. Alpine temperature -13.

Tuesday: Scattered flurries. Light to moderate northwest wind. Freezing level 1400 m. Alpine temperature -9.

Wednesday: Sunny. Light southwest wind. Freezing level 2000 m. Alpine temperature -1.

Thursday: Sunny. Moderate southwest wind. Freezing level 2000 m. Alpine temperature -1.

Avalanche Summary

Preliminary reports of avalanche activity during the storm include one visually observed and numerous audible natural storm slabs suspected to be in the size 3-3.5 range in the southeast corner of the region.

Notable reports of avalanche activity prior to the storm include:

  • A size 3 slab avalanche was observed northeast of Revelstoke on Wednesday. The avalanche failed on the ground on a south aspect at 1600 m. 
  • In neighboring Glacier National Park and South Columbia regions, several natural cornice falls triggered deep slab avalanches size 2-3.

Snowpack Summary

The weekend's storm dropped 20-50 cm over the Selkirk mountains in the south of the region and 5-10 cm elsewhere. This snow came with wind from southwest to northwest, loading thick slabs in lee features at upper elevations. Reports from Monday have indicated that the new snow is bonding well with underlying surfaces. Crusty and/or moist surfaces exist below treeline depending on elevation and time of day.

At alpine and treeline elevations, a widespread crust exists (except on north-facing slopes above 1800 m) buried 50-100 cm deep. Overall the snow seems to be bonding well at this interface, although there have been a few isolated avalanches running on crust layers over the past few week.

Terrain and Travel

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Start with conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs may remain reactive to human triggers in wind loaded terrain features. Wind direction has varied from southwest to northwest so watch for these deep pockets on a variety of aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Cornices are likely fragile due to rapid growth with recent snow and wind.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3