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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 5th, 2020–Jan 6th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Little Yoho.

Avalanche Control is planned for Highway 93South and the Trans Canada Highway Monday (click links for more info) Be aware of reactive new storm and windslabs as well as the potential for avalanches on the deep persistent layer to reach run outs.

Weather Forecast

Another cold front reaches the forecast area early Sunday eventing: winds will spike again, and temperatures are forecast to drop still further to -18C in the alpine. An additional 10cm can be expected overnight before a break early Monday morning. Another warm front will approach late Monday with rising temps and increased likelihood of snow.

Snowpack Summary

20-40 cm of storm snow, strong Westerly winds and mild temperatures are promoting storm slab formation. Some of the region has a midpack which sits over facets and depth hoar at the base, and other deeper areas have a well settled snowpack with limited facets and weak layers. Digging down to see what is in the snowpack in your area is important.

Avalanche Summary

A decrease in natural activity today following a spike yesterday with strong winds. A size 3 on Mt. Field, a size 2.5 on Vermillion Peak, and another size 2.5 slide in the Sunshine area were directly observed Saturday. SSV avalanche control crews reported touchy and widespread wind slabs today particulary in N and E facing alpine terrain Sunday.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Monday

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

20-40cm of storm snow has been accompanied by strong SW winds. Thick slabs in the lee of alpine and treeline features can be expected. Be on the look out in sheltered areas TL and below as this snow may be settling into a slab over surface hoar.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created storm slabs.
  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

We have seen a few examples of these slabs becoming reactive during the storm. These large avalanches reach run out zones. As loading continues over the next few days, avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain.

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Loose Dry

While winds stay elevated and precipitation continues to come in,  loose dry avalanches will be a problem in steep terrain.  These small events can be enough to trigger a slab on slopes beneath cliffs or on ledges in gully features.

  • Be very cautious with gully features.
  • Use caution above ledges and cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5