Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 15th, 2019 4:15PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Parks Canada Lisa Paulson, Parks Canada

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Skier accidental in the Louise region today, see avalanche summary for details.

At this point, we are uncertain about the incoming snow and wind  on Sunday. Stay tuned!

Summary

Weather Forecast

Saturday - light flurries and slightly cooler temperatures than Friday should help to improve the hazard slightly.

Sunday - models range from 10-30 cm predicted with Moderate to strong SW winds along the Divide and West. If we see large accumulations, expect the hazard to rise on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of settled snow sits on the Nov 8 crust and a variety of old wind slabs in the alpine. Faceting observed around the Oct crust and at the ground showing easy sudden collapses & propagation propensity in deeper snowpacks around Louise (90 cm). Treeline snow depths range from 50-80 cm, and up to 110 cm wind loaded pockets in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

A skier accidental size 2 slide failed on facets on the ground on a convex feature in Pipestone Bowl, near the Lake Louise Ski area. Size 1.5 natural on basal facets NE aspect at 2400 m, base of Whitehorn gullies. No other

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Reactive today in the Louise area (see avalanche summary) on basal facets and the October crust. Pending on the intensity of the incoming system on Sunday, we expect this layer to become more active.

  • Convex features and steep unsupported slopes will be most prone to triggering.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Watch for wind slabs in lee areas in the alpine.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Wind loading could create slabs.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Nov 16th, 2019 4:00PM