Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 12th, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

Email

Fresh storm slabs may slide easily on a slick crust.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10-20 cm, 30-50 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -3 C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Sunday: Overnight snowfall around 5 cm then cloudy, 20 km/h southwest wind, alpine temperature -2 C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Monday: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 40-60 cm, 40-60 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -2 C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Tuesday: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 30-40 cm, 30-50 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -1 C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, explosives and ski cuts produced size 1 loose dry avalanches. Avalanche activity will increase in the coming days as new slabs form. The snow may remain quite reactive if it doesn't bond well to the melt-freeze crust.

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of new snow sits on a hard melt-freeze crust on all aspects up to 1500 m and to the mountain tops on sun-exposed slopes. The snow sits on variable wind-affected snow on northerly aspects above 1500 m.

A few other melt-freeze crusts are found in the top 100 cm of the snowpack but appear to be progressively bonding.

The remainder of the snowpack is well-bonded.

Terrain and Travel

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Keep in mind the crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs could be touchy, particularly in wind loaded features and where the new snow sits on a hard and smooth melt-freeze crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 13th, 2022 4:00PM