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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 20th, 2015–Dec 21st, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

Watch for storm slabs at higher elevations, as these could be sensitive to human-triggering in steep terrain. Pay attention as you transition to wind affected snow.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Tonight could see SW winds reaching 70km/h. Monday will be mainly cloudy with no precipitation expected. Temperatures should reach a high of -11 °C in the Alpine. Winds are expected to be out of the SW at 15-30 km/h.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose dry avalanches up to size 1.0 were observed in extreme terrain in the Alpine.

Snowpack Summary

2 to 4cm of new snow overnight brings storm snow totals up to near 20cm at Treeline. The recent snow is low density except above 2300m where storm slabs have built over the last 2 days. Cornices are beginning to grow. The Dec 4th persistent weak layer is still found below 2100m, but seems dormant at the moment.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Fresh wind slabs are building in immediate lees along ridge-lines and in cross-loaded features in Alpine terrain and just into Treeline. These slabs are sensitive to human triggering in steeper terrain and in convex and unsupported features.
Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Dry

Recent wind and snowfall has led to sluffing in steep terrain in the Alpine. These slides could pick up significant mass in confined terrain features.
Avoid areas with overhead hazard.>Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2