Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 5th, 2019 4:14PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada dsaly, Avalanche Canada

More snow and wind will promote storm slab and cornice growth on Sunday. In areas where more than 30 cm new snow falls with moderate wind, the avalanche hazard will be HIGH.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Snow, 15-30 cm accumulation. Moderate dropping to light south wind. Freezing level 1500 m and dropping, weak inversion.SUNDAY: Snow and flurries, up to 20 cm accumulation. Light south wind gusting to strong. Freezing level below 1000 m.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Light west wind with moderate gusts. Freezing level below 500m.TUESDAY: Snow, 10-15 cm. Moderate southeast wind with strong gusts. Freezing level rising above 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread storm slab avalanche cycle on Thursday was reported in the Sea to Sky region. Storm slabs failing naturally produced very large (size 3) avalanches and skier traffic triggered smaller (size 1-2) avalanches through the day. Most had a depths around 40 cm, representing the total snow accumulated starting Wednesday. There have been no avalanche reports recently for the South Coast region, but had a similar storm to the Sea to Sky region and likely had similar avalanches conditions on Thursday.Please submit any observations you have to the Mountain Information Network here.

Snowpack Summary

Heavy rain overnight has saturated the snowpack to alpine elevations and settled storm snow. At high alpine elevations above the rain, dry snow has been redistributed by strong winds to lee terrain. More snow is forecasted into Sunday, initially this new snow may not bond to the snowpack.Prior to the recent storm a crust extended to 1500 m elevation. At the highest elevations in the north of the region near Squamish, there could be a weak layer of feathery surface hoar roughly 50 cm below the new snow. Otherwise, the lower snowpack is well-settled.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
The North Shore Mountains are forecasted to receive upwards of 30 cm starting Saturday night into Sunday. This new snow is initially not expected to bond to the surface and storm slabs are expected to form.
Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Recent snow transported by winds has developed cornices on ridge-tops and will continue to develop with more snow.
Avoid steep slopes below cornices.Stay well back from cornices when traveling on ridges.Even small cornice falls may trigger larger avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 6th, 2019 2:00PM