Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 30th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JSmith, Avalanche Canada

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10 cm of new snow and moderate northwest winds on Monday night may create fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Larger, lingering wind slabs may remain surprisingly reactive to human triggers in areas where they are sitting on a layer of small surface hoar.  

Summary

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

  

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing skies / Moderate to strong, northwest ridgetop wind / alpine low temperature -14 / Freezing level valley bottom.

TUESDAY: Sunny / Light to moderate, northwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature -3 / Above freezing layer of air moving in late afternoon and creating a strong temperature inversion with warm air above roughly 2000 m.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, south ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature +1 / Strong inversion with an above freezing layer of air above 2000 m.

THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light, southwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature +1 / Strong inversion with an above freezing layer of air above 2000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Check out this MIN of a recent human triggered wind slab avalanche at the Gorge.

If you get out into the mountains, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

10 cm of new snow and moderate northwest winds on Monday night may create fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. 20-40 cm of recent storm snow and strong southerly winds created wind slabs at treeline and above that are now a couple days old. These wind slabs may remain surprisingly reactive in areas where they are sitting on a layer of small surface hoar. This layer has been described as “spotty” and may only be found in specific areas. A crust from early November exists down approximately 90-130 cm.   

This layer has been observed to have weak, sugary facets above and below it and is most likely to be reactive to human triggers on south facing slopes and in shallow, rocky, snowpack areas in the alpine.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

  

10 cm of new snow and moderate northwest winds on Monday night may create fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A crust from early November exists down about 80-100 cm. This layer has weak, sugary facets above and below it. This layer is most likely to be reactive to human triggers in shallow, rocky, snowpack areas in the alpine.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Dec 1st, 2020 4:00PM