Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Showers and rain, 10 mm / Moderate, south-southwest ridgetop wind / alpine low temperature +1 / Freezing level 1600 m

MONDAY: Rain, 30-50 mm / Strong, southwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature +4 / Freezing level rising sharply above 2500 m

TUESDAY: Rain and wet snow, 20-40 mm / Strong decreasing to moderate, southwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature +5 / Freezing level dropping to 1700 m

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Light, northwest ridgetop wind / alpine high temperature +2 / Freezing level 1300 m

The last avalanche observations are from last Wednesday (Nov 2) when numerous slab and loose wet avalanches were reported at treeline elevations and associated with rapid warming. On Thursday, several glide cracks did start to open up on the North Shore Mountains.

Have you been out and about in the mountains? If so please submit to the Mountain Information Network (MIN). It doesn't have to be technical it can be as simple as a photo. Photos are especially helpful! Sending out a big thank you to the already submitted MIN's this season. Thanks everyone!

Recent sun and warm alpine temperatures have had a deep impact on the snowpack. Melt-freeze conditions exist on most aspects. Dry, wind-affected snow may prevail in high alpine polar terrain. Expect the snowpack to soften quickly with forecasted rain and warm temperatures.

Snowpack depth rapidly changes with elevation, the snowpack depth varies from 100 cm in the trees up to 150-200 cm near mountain tops.

• The more the snow feels like a slurpy, the more likely loose wet avalanches will become.
• Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy rain.
• The first few hours of rain will likely be the most dangerous period.