Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Friday

FRIDAY: Cloud clearing. Treeline temperature near -8. Light winds.SATURDAY: Sunny. Treeline temperature near -3. Light winds.SUNDAY: Mainly sunny. Treeline temperature near -1. Light winds.

On Wednesday, a few large persistent slabs failed naturally, one with a solar trigger and a couple triggered by icefall. A few small loose and slab avalanches were also reported.A few large (size 2-3) persistent slabs also failed early this week, both naturally and with a remote trigger. These were reported as failing on the February persistent weak layers on south to west aspects, mostly in the east of the region.Avalanche activity is expected to increase as we move into a period of intense sun and prolonged warming. Predictable loose wet avalanches from steep, sunny terrain should be easy to manage. The trickier beast will be when warmth penetrates into the snowpack and starts tickling deeper persistent weak layers. I'd avoid exposure to large sunny features and keep well away from corniced slopes over the next few days.

Around 20 cm new snow has formed storm slabs and variable thin wind slabs which overlie sun crusts on solar aspects.A couple of layers buried in mid-late February (down around 50-100 cm) are variably reactive, but both have the potential to create surprisingly large avalanches if triggered. Initially, these interfaces were most reactive on solar aspects, where they present as buried sun crusts. However, persistent slabs have been triggered on shady aspects too, where surface hoar and/or facets exist.Deeper persistent weak layers from January and December are generally considered dormant, but could wake up with forecast warming, a surface avalanche stepping down, cornice fall, or a human trigger in a shallow or variable-depth snowpack area. These layers consist of sun crust, surface hoar and/or facets. Facets linger at the base of the snowpack.