Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 19th, 2012 9:09AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable weather conditions

Weather Forecast

Moderate to heavy snowfall is forecast for Wednesday and possibly into Thursday with strong to extreme southwest winds. Highest snowfall amounts will be in the Coquihalla area. A mix of sun and cloud, reduced winds and intermittent flurries are forecast for Friday and Saturday. Freezing levels area expected to remain at surface for the forecast period.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday 1 size 3 and several size 2 slab avalanches were reported in the Coquihalla area. North of Pemberton, a size 1.5 windslab was accidentally triggered by a skier. All avalanche activity occurred within the recent storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

Expect new storm slabs and wind slabs to form on Wednesday. This will add to the variable amounts of low density storm snow that has been shifted by winds into soft slabs in the alpine and at treeline. A layer of surface hoar and stellars buried on Dec 10 exists at treeline in the Duffey Lake area and may be more widespread.  Buried down 70-100 cm, you might find a surface hoar layer from late November; however, no recent avalanches have been observed on this layer. A consolidated mid-pack overlies the deeply buried November crust/facet layer, which continues to give occasional sudden planar compression test results. This layer has not been observed in the Coquihalla area.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Further new snow and strong winds are likely to create widespread instabilities. Be alert for wind slabs behind ridgecrests and ribs, and soft slabs or sluffs on steep terrain sheltered from the wind.
Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Dec 20th, 2012 2:00PM