Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 2nd, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada isnowsell, Avalanche Canada

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Snowpack is generally weak, thin, and sugary. The main avalanche hazard exists in areas where a cohesive slab has formed on top of a weak lower snowpack.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A small (size 1) slab avalanche was observed Thursday in the upper below treeline region (~2000 m), on a steep, south-facing road bank. It failed and propagated on the sugary, faceted lower snowpack, down 25 cm from the surface.

Snowpack Summary

The surface snow continues to dry out (facet) with the current cold temperatures and is being redistributed by variable winds. In the alpine and treeline, much of the wind-exposed terrain has been scoured of snow. In deeper snowpack (loaded) areas, cohesive wind slabs may exist and generally overlie a weak, sugary, facetted lower snowpack.

The overall height of snow is highly variable throughout the region. 50-150 cm in the alpine.

Weather Summary

Friday night

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation expected, light to moderate westerly ridgetop winds, and alpine temperatures in the -15 to -20 C range.

Saturday

Clearing throughout the day. Generally light winds from the west at ridgetop, with alpine temperatures warming slightly, in the -10 to -15 C range.

Sunday

Mostly sunny, light ridgetop winds and alpine temperatures around -10 C.

Monday

Mostly sunny, light ridgetop winds and alpine temperatures around -15 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs have formed behind ribs and ridges in the alpine and treeline. These cohesive slabs likely overlay a weak, sugary lower snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A buried surface hoar, facet layer is beginning to become a greater hazard as snow amounts reach threshold below treeline. It will be most reactive where the upper snowpack has settled into a cohesive slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Dec 3rd, 2022 4:00PM

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