Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 12th, 2014 8:03AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeGood group management and conservative terrain choices are essential today as you travel through avalanche terrain. Note avalanche activity and avoid paths that have not avalanched recently.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Flurries are forecast today with freezing levels remaining at valley bottom and moderate SW ridge top winds, gusting to 95 km/h. Another storm moves in tonight into Monday. Heavy precipitation is forecast with freezing levels rising to 1200 m on Monday. Expect strong winds from the west during this storm. Flurries are forecast for Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
Over 75 cm of high density storm snow at treeline overlies previous lower density layers resulting in a touchy surface slab. Moderate to strong winds are aiding in slab development in exposed terrain treeline and above. The Nov 28th surface hoar layer, down over 2 m, may be reactivated by the rapid loading or step down avalanches.
Avalanche Summary
We have limited observations of a few small natural avalanches up to size 1.5, the occurred overnight. A large cycle of natural avalanche was observed through out the day yesterday. Avalanches were up to size 3.5 depositing snow at the bottom of runnouts. Yesterday, artillery control produced numerous avalanches from all aspects up to size 3.0.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday
Problems
Storm Slabs
Over 75 cm of heavy storm snow has fallen with moderate/strong southerly winds. This new snow is causing natural avalanches and is very touchy to human-triggering.
The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.Choose conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Strong southerly winds over the last two days has created touchy wind slabs.
Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 13th, 2014 8:00AM