Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 10th, 2015 8:00AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Cornices.

Parks Canada andrew jones, Parks Canada

An incoming weather system will create new avalanche problems for the weekend. Watch for increasing hazard with new snow and strong winds.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Winter weather is back. Mainly cloudy today with flurries and up to 4cm of accumulation. Freezing levels rise to 200m this afternoon with SW winds gusting to 55km/hr. A cold front arrives tonight with dropping freezing levels, 14cm of new snow and strong SW winds. Scattered flurries and cold temperatures persist for the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

Melt freeze cycle below 2500m is formed a strong, 20cm thick crust. In the top meter of the snowpack there are multiple crusts that are reactive to tests but would likely need a large trigger. On Wednesday, dry facetted snow was found on northerly and shaded aspects above 1900m. Surface hoar on shaded aspects will get buried this weekend.

Avalanche Summary

The daytime heat triggered 2 natural cornice avalanches that pulled out slabs on the slope below. On the North face of Mt Bonney and Mt Clarke, a cornice triggered a size 3.0 avalanche that failed on glacier ice. Glide crack avalanches continue to be observed below treeline up to size 2.5.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Temperatures may be cooling but cornices are still the main problem in Rogers Pass. Recent cornice failures have triggered persistent instabilities buried deep in the snowpack. The resulting avalanches are large with serious destructive potential.
Do not travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 11th, 2015 8:00AM