Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 27th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada astclair, Avalanche Canada

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Intense snowfall, heavy rain, and strong winds will create dangerous avalanche conditions.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to limitations in the field data.

Weather Forecast

Friday night: Cloudy, 10-20 cm of new snow above 1300 m, moderate southwest wind, treeline temperatures near 0 C.

Saturday: Cloudy, 30-40 cm of new snow above 1300 m, strong southwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1400 m in the afternoon, treeline temperatures reach 0 C.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, 30-40 cm of new snow overnight, moderate southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 1000 m, treeline temperatures reach -2 C. 

Monday: Mostly cloudy, 20-30 cm of new snow, moderate southwest wind, freezing level dropping to 800 m, treeline temperatures reach -5 C. 

Avalanche Summary

Slab avalanches are a concern on slopes with accumulations of new snow, especially in wind-loaded terrain. Wet loose avalanches are expected on steep slopes at lower elevations. No recent avalanches have been reported, but mountain travel and field observations have been very limited.

Snowpack Summary

A powerful storm is bringing intense snowfall, heavy rain, and strong southwest winds to the region. At higher elevations, snowfall accumulations in the 30-40 cm range are expected to build widespread, reactive storm slabs and create dangerous avalanche conditions. Heavy rain is expected to rapidly saturate the surface snow at lower elevations. 

15-25 cm of snow from earlier in the week covers a variety of snow surfaces including crusts, warm snow, and wind-affected snow. There is some uncertainty about how well the new snow has bonded to these interfaces. The snowpack is well-settled. Snowpack depths diminish rapidly with elevation, with 300-400 cm at treeline and no snow below 700 m.

Terrain and Travel

  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Heavy snowfall and strong southwest wind are expected to build widespread, reactive storm slabs at upper elevations. There is uncertainty as to how well these slabs will bond to underlying interfaces. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Heavy rain is expected below 1300 m. Saturated snow on steep slopes will likely become unstable. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 28th, 2020 5:00PM