Summary
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain
Weather Forecast
Monday: Some clouds developing. Freezing level around 1500 m. Light southerly winds. Tuesday: Light precipitation. Freezing level around 1500 m.Wednesday: Light to moderate precipitation. Freezing level rising to around 1800 m.
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports include wet loose avalanches up to size 2.5 in response to direct sun exposure. Cornices have also been failing over the past few days, some of which triggered wind slab avalanches up to size 2 on the slope below. Large glide avalanche activity also continued. On Saturday, a size 3 glide release removed trees and left a 4-5 m deposit near Shames. Glide slabs can be unpredictable. Any slopes sporting glide cracks are best avoided.
Snowpack Summary
The snow surface consists of a sun crust on solar aspects and at low elevations (becoming moist during the day), surface hoar on shady slopes up into the alpine, and dry settling or faceting snow on high north aspects. Pockets of wind slab are likely in exposed leeward alpine terrain. Sheltered shady slopes may be harboring buried surface hoar and/or preserved old storm snow from last week, which isn't as stable. Daytime warming or sun-exposure may cause surface snow to lose cohesion and cornices to weaken. Glide cracks have opened up, especially on steep rocky terrain features.
