Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 4th, 2012 10:41AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs, Storm Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Good
Weather Forecast
Thursday: Unsettled conditions with scattered flurries and sunny breaks. Freezing levels around 1000m and light northerly winds. Friday and Saturday: A ridge of high pressure is expected to keep things mainly sunny and dry. Freezing levels are expected to hover around 800-1000m on Friday and slightly rise to 1200m for Saturday. Winds should remain light from the north.
Avalanche Summary
Observations from Tuesday are limited due to poor visibility. But heavy loading from snow wind and rain, as well as rapid warming, likely produced natural avalanches, and resulting storm and wind slabs, and cornices, are probably very touchy. Check out the telemarktips.com South Coast conditions forum for a report of a remotely triggered Size 3 slab avalanche on a north facing couloir in the east side of the Duffey Lake area on Sunday. The slab failed on basal facets and propagated 300m out of the couloir and wrapped around to the adjacent northwest.
Snowpack Summary
30cm of new snow in the Duffey Lake area in the past couple of days brings the total snowfall over the past week close to a metre, while rain followed by a skiff of new snow has resulted in dust-on-crust conditions in the Coquihalla area. The past week's snowfall overlies a predominately crusty interface, except north facing slopes at treeline and above where small surface hoar (5mm) may be found. Recent reports include hard but sudden compression tests results and a Rutschblock 4 whole block failure on this late-March surface hoar in the Duffey Lake area. Deep persistent weaknesses linger in many colder and shallower snowpack areas. The potential for remote triggering, step down avalanches, and wide propagations, makes the current snowpack structure particularly tricky to manage.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 5th, 2012 9:00AM