Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

MONDAY: Snow beginning Sunday evening and is expected to accumulate to 10-20 cm by Monday afternoon. Moderate southwesterly ridgetop winds, and temperatures around -12.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, moderate northwesterly ridgetop winds, and temperatures around -18.WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny with cloudy periods, light northwesterly ridgetop winds, and temperatures around -20.

On Saturday, numerous size 1 human triggered wind slabs were reported on northerly aspects. I expect human triggered wind slab activity to increase on Monday with the forecast new snow and wind.

Forecast 10-20 cm of new snow by Monday afternoon and moderate southwest winds are expected to create fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above. Recent snow has also covered old, thicker wind and hard slabs from previous wind events. Persistent weak layers in the mid-pack are giving variable results in snowpack tests, but are generally most touchy in shallow snowpack areas. Recent snowpack tests gave moderate to hard but resistant results on two different layers of facets and/or buried surface hoar in the top metre. The lower snowpack seems to be well bonded, but features a crust/facet deep persistent weakness near the ground, which remains a concern in shallow rocky snowpack areas.