Avalanche Forecast

Low - Uncertainty is due to the fact that persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Thursday night: No new snow expected. Moderate Northwest winds in the alpine. Low of -15 at 1600m.

Friday: sunny and no new snow expected. Moderate winds from the Northwest shifting to the Southwest in the evening. High of -15 at 1600m.

Saturday: a storm arrives bringing up to 20cm of new snow with the greatest snowfall in the Monashees. Winds will be strong from the Southwest.. High of -9 at 1600m.

Sunday: some light snow in the morning. Strong Southwest winds in the morning becoming light West in the afternoon. High of -8 at 1600m.

On Tuesday one skier triggered size 1.5 was reported on a North aspect at 2200m. This avalanche occurred on the facets above the early December crust. The slab was 35cm thick.

Up to 10cm of low density snow overlies old wind effected surfaces.

The defining feature of the snowpack is a widespread crust that reaches as high as 2400 m and now sits 30-80 cm below the surface. In many places overlying snow is well-bonded to the crust but in others weak faceted grains have been observed above it. The faceting is most prominent in the treeline where the crust is thinner.

Average snowpack depth at treeline is 200cm.

• Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a persistent slab.
• In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.