Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 1st, 2022 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada ghelgeson, Avalanche Canada

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Expect firm conditions in the morning, softening with sun and warm temperatures throughout the day and watch for wind slabs in extreme terrain. Wet avalanches become more likely on south facing slopes as the surface crust breaks down, and snow becomes wet and heavy. 

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing of the incoming weather system.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Freezing level around 1000 m, trace to 4 cm of snow possible, light southwest wind.

SATURDAY: Scattered cloud with some clearing in the early evening, no significant snowfall expected, light southwest wind, freezing level around 1700 m.

SUNDAY: Broken cloud cover at dawn building to overcast by lunch, a couple cm of snow possible, moderate southwest wind, freezing level around 1700 m. 4 to 8 cm possible Sunday night.

MONDAY: Overcast, 5 to 15 cm of snow possible, strong southwest wind, freezing level around 1700 m.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday we received two reports of small rider triggered wind slab avalanches on north and east facing terrain in the alpine in the northern portion of the region.

On Wednesday loose wet avalanches were reported on south facing slopes at treeline and below to size 2.5. 

On Tuesday, several size 2-3 wet avalanches were naturally triggered by sun, warm temperatures and cornice falls in western terrain near the Bugaboos, with some failing at the ground. 

Snowpack Summary

Small pockets of wind loaded snow may sit on north and east facing slopes in the alpine. A crust exists on all aspects as high as 2500 m, softening in the afternoon at all elevations with warm temperatures and sun creating moist surface snow. At very low elevations, the snowpack may be wet and isothermal, depending on overnight freezing levels. 

At 30 to 75 cm below the snow surface, a sun crust can be found on solar aspects from March. The recent warm weather seems to have helped this layer bond. 

A thick rain crust with facets above from early December is buried around 150 cm deep. Large avalanches were naturally triggered on this layer during the most recent warm temperatures in western terrain near the Bugaboos. Continued avalanche activity on this layer is unlikely with cooler temperatures forecast. 

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.
  • Minimize exposure to sun-exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Warm temperatures and sun throughout the day may soften the surface crust and weaken the upper snowpack. 

Pay close attention to how thick and supportive the surface crust is throughout the day. Minimize your exposure to slopes with wet and heavy snow. 

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Apr 2nd, 2022 4:00PM