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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2014–Feb 11th, 2014
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Glacier.

Avalanche hazard will be on the rise with approaching storms systems. Weak layers that have formed during the dry period will be loaded. Consider much more conservative routes for the next few days.

Weather Forecast

Westerly flow producing a series of Pacific frontal systems to approach the Interior this week. The first will approach us this afternoon with light to moderate amounts of snow into tomorrow morning. A short lull between storms tomorrow when a more significant system approaches Tuesday night giving more precipitation and rising freezing levels.

Snowpack Summary

A variety of surfaces exists including hard slab, loose, cold facets, and breakable crust. Wind slabs are present in exposed terrain on many aspects due to reverse loading winds over the last 2 days. 2 buried surface hoar layers are present in the upper 15 cm of snow, waiting to be loaded by the incoming storm. The mid pack is well settled.

Avalanche Summary

Ski-cuts are producing fast sluffing to size 1 in the upper 5-15cm in loose, faceted snow, entraining mass and flowing into low angle terrain over 250-300m downhill. While these sluffs were not big enough to bury a person, you would certainly be pushed over by them.1 natural size 2.0 avalanche east of the rogers Pass summit from Mt Macdonald.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Isolated pockets of windslab to watch out for in exposed areas. Winds were predominantly from the East and the North until yesterday morning, loading south and west slopes near ridge tops.
Caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2