Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 15th, 2012 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Cornices, Wind Slabs and Wet Slabs.

pgoddard, Avalanche Canada

South Coast.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain for the entire period

Weather Forecast

Monday: Light to moderate precipitation. Moderate SW winds. Freezing level around 1600 m. Clearing in the evening.Tuesday: Sunshine in the morning, changing to cloud and light precipitation late in the day. Moderate S winds. Freezing level around 1400 m. Wednesday: Moderate precipitation. Moderate SW winds. Freezing level around 1400 m.

Avalanche Summary

Recent reports include cornice fall and loose wet avalanches during periods of warming. Full-depth size 2-3 glide avalanches have been sporadically releasing on rock slabs.

Snowpack Summary

Very large cornices are looming. Glide cracks have opened up and pose the threat of large, full-depth releases, especially on steep rocky terrain features at low elevations. At this time of year, snowpack stability tends to decrease during times of warming (e.g. on slopes receiving sunshine, during rainfall, in the afternoon and at low elevations) and improve when the surface freezes. A buried crust/surface hoar layer from late March, within the upper 1.5 m of the snowpack, is reported to have gained strength, but remains a lingering concern.

Problems

Cornices

Mammoth cornices are looming. A cornice fall can act as a heavy trigger for avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 5

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may develop with incoming snow and wind. Be alert for these behind ridges and terrain breaks.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Wet Slabs

Wet loose or slab avalanches are most likely on steep slopes when temperatures are warm,e.g. on slopes receiving sunshine, during rainfall, in the afternoon and at low elevations. Avoid exposure to slopes which are sporting glide cracks.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 6

Valid until: Apr 16th, 2012 9:00AM