Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Confidence
Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain for the entire period
Weather Forecast
Monday: Light to moderate precipitation. Moderate SW winds. Freezing level around 1600 m. Clearing in the evening.Tuesday: Sunshine in the morning, changing to cloud and light precipitation late in the day. Moderate S winds. Freezing level around 1400 m. Wednesday: Moderate precipitation. Moderate SW winds. Freezing level around 1400 m.
Avalanche Summary
Recent reports include cornice fall and loose wet avalanches during periods of warming. Full-depth size 2-3 glide avalanches have been sporadically releasing on rock slabs.
Snowpack Summary
Very large cornices are looming. Glide cracks have opened up and pose the threat of large, full-depth releases, especially on steep rocky terrain features at low elevations. At this time of year, snowpack stability tends to decrease during times of warming (e.g. on slopes receiving sunshine, during rainfall, in the afternoon and at low elevations) and improve when the surface freezes. A buried crust/surface hoar layer from late March, within the upper 1.5 m of the snowpack, is reported to have gained strength, but remains a lingering concern.
Avalanche Problems
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 5
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 4
Wet Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 6