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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 26th, 2014–Dec 27th, 2014
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Little Yoho.

The skiing has improved due to recent snow, however there is a poor bond at the storm snow interface which will persist for some time and the snowpack is weak. Avoid larger features and steeper terrain. Good skiing can be found on lower angled slopes

Weather Forecast

A few flurries overnight then a clearing and cooling trend starts on Saturday. Clear skies, light NE winds and cold temperatures are forecast for Sunday and Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Recent winds have created small wind slabs in the alpine which sit over the Dec 18 layer of crust, facets and/or surface hoar depending on the location. A poor bond exists at this interface. At the base of the snowpack weak crusts and facets exist which are still a concern.

Avalanche Summary

"Speed Run" at Lake Louise ran naturally as a size 2 on December 26th following some moderate wind transport overnight. A couple other natural avalanches up to size 2 were also observed. Following the storm last week avalanches up to size 2.5 were observed with propagations up to 200 m, and occasionally stepping down to the basal facets/crusts.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

15 to 30cm's of snow from last week is bonding poorly to previous surfaces and remains reactive to skier triggering, especially in areas where there is some wind loading and slab development.

  • The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

A weak and facetted basal layer exists at the bottom of the snowpack. Smaller storm snow avalanches may step down to this weak layer.

  • Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Use careful route-finding and stick to moderate slope angles with low consequences

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3