Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 28th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada ahanna, Avalanche Canada

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Avalanche danger will increase through the day Wednesday as 35-45 cm of new snow and strong winds form reactive storm slabs at upper elevations.

Summary

Confidence

High - We are confident the likelihood of avalanche will increase with the arrival of the forecast weather.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night: Flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Light south winds. Freezing level 1300 m.

Wednesday: 35-45 cm of new snow with rain below 900 m. Strong southwest winds. Freezing level 1200 m.

Thursday: 10-15 cm of new snow. Southwest winds building to strong. Freezing level 1900 m.

Friday: Broken cloud with flurries starting in the afternoon. Strong southwest winds. Freezing level 2500 m. Storm totals for Friday night/Saturday are looking to be in the range of of 50-80 mm of rain. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations since Saturday when small pockets of loose wet snow (less than size 1) were reactive to skier traffic. 

Snowpack Summary

35-45 cm of new snow will fall over the day above 1000 m. Dry snow at upper elevations will be redistributed by strong southwest wind. A rain crust up to 1400 m sits 30-60 cm below the surface, elevation dependent. The snowpack is strong and settled from earlier rain, and now 200-300 cm deep around the peaks of the north shore mountains. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind or rain.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and wind exposure.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will form above 1000 m where snowfall accumulates, 35-45 cm expected through the day. Dry snow at upper elevations will be redistributed by strong southwest wind, forming deep wind-loaded pockets in lee features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches are possible in steep terrain due to rain and warm temperatures at lower elevations.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 29th, 2020 5:00PM