Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 12th, 2014 7:44AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

Although the trend shows improvement the potential for triggering an avalanche is greatest at higher elevations due to recent heavy snowfall and strong winds.

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure will build over BC resulting in much drier and cooler weather for the next few days. Most areas should see a mix of sun and cloud with slight chance of the odd flurry. Freezing levels should gradually drop to 500-1000 m on Saturday and to valley bottom for Sunday and Monday. Winds ease off and become light and variable.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread natural avalanche activity up to size 3 was reported on Wednesday and Thursday. These consisted of deep storm slabs, particularly from wind loaded slopes in the alpine, and wet slabs or loose wet sluffs at lower elevations. Some of the wet slides gouged down to the ground. Natural avalanche activity should taper off as conditions cool and dry out, but it could still be possible to trigger storm or wind slabs at higher elevations where most of the recent precipitation fell as snow.

Snowpack Summary

Warm temperatures and rain have resulted in wet snow up to at least 1900 m and moist snow even higher. Strong southerly winds have loading leeward features in the alpine. Below the new storm snow (~30-60 cm) may be a layer of surface hoar which was buried on Dec 5. Another weak layer of surface hoar and/or facets can be found 80-100 cm deep in some locations. This layer has produced easy or moderate "pops" results in recent snowpack tests. A thick rain crust with facets from early November is buried over 1 m down. Snowpack tests on these deep weak layers are showing slowly improving results, but in some locations these layers are still reactive and have the potential to release large slab avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
This problem is primarily a concern in the alpine where most of the recent precipitation has fallen as snow. Watch for wind loaded or cross loaded slopes well below ridge crests from the past week of strong southerly winds.
Choose well supported terrain without convexities.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
The likelihood of triggering a persistent slab should decrease heading into the weekend but be wary of any slope that did not release during the storms or has been reloaded.
Avoid common trigger zones including thin snowpack areas, near rocky outcrops, and steep alpine slopes.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 6

Valid until: Dec 13th, 2014 2:00PM