Avalanche Forecast

Good

A ridge of high pressure will build over BC resulting in much drier and cooler weather for the next few days. Most areas should see a mix of sun and cloud with slight chance of the odd flurry. Freezing levels should gradually drop to 500-1000 m on Saturday and to valley bottom for Sunday and Monday. Winds ease off and become light and variable.

Widespread natural avalanche activity up to size 3 was reported on Wednesday and Thursday. These consisted of deep storm slabs, particularly from wind loaded slopes in the alpine, and wet slabs or loose wet sluffs at lower elevations. Some of the wet slides gouged down to the ground. Natural avalanche activity should taper off as conditions cool and dry out, but it could still be possible to trigger storm or wind slabs at higher elevations where most of the recent precipitation fell as snow.

Warm temperatures and rain have resulted in wet snow up to at least 1900 m and moist snow even higher. Strong southerly winds have loading leeward features in the alpine. Below the new storm snow (~30-60 cm) may be a layer of surface hoar which was buried on Dec 5. Another weak layer of surface hoar and/or facets can be found 80-100 cm deep in some locations. This layer has produced easy or moderate "pops" results in recent snowpack tests. A thick rain crust with facets from early November is buried over 1 m down. Snowpack tests on these deep weak layers are showing slowly improving results, but in some locations these layers are still reactive and have the potential to release large slab avalanches.