Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 19th, 2017 4:20PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mgrist, Avalanche Canada

The best riding right now is probably on high north aspects, which is also where the hazard is the highest. Don't let your guard down when searching for fresh powder.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

We're into a fairly stable weather pattern: seasonal temperatures and isolated flurries.MONDAY: Cloudy with light flurries, local accumulations to 5cm, light to moderate southwesterly winds and freezing levels around 1300 m.TUESDAY: A mix of sun and cloud with light snow flurries starting in the afternoon (5-10cm), light winds and freezing levels around 700 m.WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with light flurries (5-10cm), light southerly winds and freezing levels around 400 m.

Avalanche Summary

On the weekend we had a few reports of natural cornice fall in addition to lingering storm and wind slab avalanches, mostly Size 1.5 on high northerly aspects. Wind slabs (think northerly aspects in the alpine) are sensitive to light triggers and have the potential to step down and trigger persistent slab avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

We've had minor snowfall amounts (5-20cm) over the weekend with light winds. At higher elevations expect to find 25-40 cm of more recent snow slowly bonding to buried surface hoar and/or a crust, and blown into deep wind slabs near ridge crests. Below 1600m the moist snow has frozen to give a (sometimes) breakable (10cm thick in places) crust: Not much fun riding I'm afraid. Rapidly settling storm snow from last week is still bonding poorly to the previous snow surface from early February, which is now down 60-90 cm and includes a sun crust on steep sun-exposed slopes, faceted snow, as well as surface hoar on sheltered open slopes. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and stable in deeper snowpack areas but may be faceted and weaker in shallower areas. The mid-December surface hoar/facet persistent weakness can now be found down roughly 150 cm. It has become inactive in the south of the region, but may still be lingering in the northern part of the region near Blue River and Valemount.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Wind slabs are likely still lurking below ridge crests and behind terrain features at higher elevations. Choose your line carefully and use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind slab.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.The recent snow may now be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
A persistent weakness down 50-80 cm remains remains sensitive to light triggers in isolated areas. Smaller avalanches have the potential to step down to this layer.
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers.Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of unstable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 20th, 2017 2:00PM