Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 26th, 2013 8:22AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada rbuhler, Avalanche Canada

This bulletin was created using very limited field data. Substantial variation in snowpack structure is likely to exist across the region. If you are out in the mountains, please send your observations to forecaster@avalanche.ca

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure will continue to dominate on Wednesday and Thursday resulting in dry conditions, light alpine winds, and mostly sunny skies. The temperature inversion which has resulted in a layer of warm air sitting at mountain-top elevations will begin to break down in the northern parts of the region on Wednesday. By Thursday the temperature inversion should be gone from all parts of the region. A weak frontal system is expected on Thursday night or Friday and will result in light snowfall, mostly cloudy conditions, and moderate alpine winds for Friday.

Avalanche Summary

No reports of recent avalanche activity have been received. This may speak more to the lack of reported observations rather than actual conditions. If you have information please feel free to contact us at forecaster@avalanche.ca

Snowpack Summary

Little to no new snow has fallen since the storm last Tuesday. The old storm snow and wind slabs have likely settled out and stabilized with the recent warm temperatures in the alpine. There are 2 weak layers within the snowpack which may still create avalanche problems: (1) the October crust is near the base of the snowpack; and (2) the November surface hoar is down 50-70 cm but appears to only exist in the northern areas of the region. Limited reports suggest that both layers have become difficult to trigger. However, if triggered, there is the potential to cause large, destructive avalanches. Sun exposed slopes are undergoing daily melt-freeze cycles. Large surface hoar is forming on all aspects but is melting on south aspects during the daytime warming.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Limited reports suggest it has become difficult to trigger a persistent slab on the October crust or the November surface hoar. However, if an avalanche is triggered, it has the potential to be large and destructive.
Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

3 - 5

Valid until: Nov 27th, 2013 2:00PM