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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2024–Jan 29th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Rain has soaked the upper snowpack to about 2300m. Expect poor skiing and travel until things cool off. Natural avalanche activity will increase with the rising freezing levels.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several whumpfs observed today when breaking new trail in valley bottoms. Shooting cracks were visible in the upper 30cm of snow that has been saturated by the recent rain.

Party reported a small avalanche in the Hero's knob drainage around 11am.

Snowpack Summary

Field teams went for a short lived walk today in the commonwealth drainage. All efforts were given up on the way to Commonwealth lake due to a fully saturated snowpack and bad travel. 2000m and below the snowpack was moist to ground. With next to no freeze overnight and warm temps, expect travel to be terrible until the weather cools and the snowpack has a chance to freeze again.

Weather Summary

Monday will see partially sunny skies and no precip. West winds in the 50km/h range continue and freezing levels to hover around 2300m once again.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.
  • Watch for unstable snow on specific terrain features, especially when the snow is moist or wet.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Surface snow becoming moist and wet with rain and high freezing levels.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Hard and soft slabs have developed from the warm temperatures, wind and small snowfall amounts. These sit on top of cold snap facet interface. Sun crusts are also found on steep solar aspects around treeline

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

This layer is getting getting buried deeper and deeper over time. The weight and amount of new snow is slowly increasing, which will increase the size of any potential avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3